AMERICAN PRESIDENTS often benefit politically when they lead the country into armed conflict. However, Donald Trump's approval rating stands at 38%, mirroring public support for his attack on Iran. Unlike previous presidents, Trump has not seen a large rally-round-the-flag effect since the war began on February 28th.
Despite being an isolationist movement, MAGA Republicans have shown solid support for Trump's war in Iran. The divide within the party is striking, with 85% of self-described MAGA Republicans endorsing the president's war, compared to 64% of non-MAGA Republicans.
Part of the reason for MAGA's loyalty lies in the movement's cult of personality. Trump's flexible beliefs and ability to adapt to changing circumstances have allowed him to maintain a strong bond with his base.
Trump's approach to military power also resonates with the America First crowd. He favors spectacular displays of American force, such as the operation to remove Venezuela's leader, Nicolás Maduro. The president's rhetoric about Iran follows the same script, with him boasting about the country's military success and the effectiveness of America's armed forces.
Trump's wars also embody the America First credo, with him appearing largely indifferent to international law or diplomatic norms. However, one principle remains constant: America must benefit from conflicts in the Middle East.
The final element of Trump's approach to war is brevity. He has shown little appetite for a prolonged or costly commitment, with many of his interventions designed to be swift and limited.
Despite some vocal minority within the MAGA movement expressing discontent with the Iran war, Trump remains on firm ground with his base. The longer the campaign drags on, the more he may discover whether his base's loyalty is truly unwavering.
