The 98th Academy Awards are just around the corner, with the biggest night in Hollywood set to take place on March 15, 2026, at the Dolby Theatre in Los Angeles. Based on trends, previous winners, and predictions from Hollywood bookmakers, One Battle After Another is the frontrunner for Best Picture with a 60% chance of winning.
However, Sinners has closed the gap with a 30% chance, but most predictions believe it has left too much to do in the final stretch of the awards season.
In the Best Actor category, Michael B Jordan has taken the lead with a 40% chance of winning, surpassing Timothée Chalamet's 35% chance. Chalamet was initially the favorite for his performance in Marty Supreme, but recent controversy has shifted the scales in Jordan's favor.
Jessie Buckley is the odds-on favorite for Best Actress with a 90% chance of winning for her performance in Hamnet. Rose Byrne trails behind with a 5% chance.
Paul Thomas Anderson is the favorite to win Best Director with a 50% chance, followed closely by Ryan Coogler with a 25% chance.
The Best Supporting Actor category has turned into a three-horse race, with Sean Penn leading the pack with a 40% chance, followed by Stellan Skarsgard with a 25% chance and Delroy Lindo with a 20% chance.
Amy Madigan is the frontrunner for Best Supporting Actress with a 40% chance, but Teyana Taylor and Wunmi Mosaku are hot on her heels with a 25% chance each.
K Pop Demon Hunters is the odds-on favorite to win Best Animated Feature with a 70% chance, followed by Zootopia 2 with a 10% chance.
The Best International Feature category is a closely contested race, with The Secret Agent leading the pack with a 33% chance, followed by Sentimental Value with a 30% chance.
