Bihar Election 2025: BJP Set for Repeat Victory, Nitish Kumar Gains Momentum | 3 Key Takeaways

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As early trends emerge from the Bihar assembly election 2025, three key factors are shaping the outcome. Firstly, the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) appears poised to match or surpass its 2020 performance, thanks to a well-established cadre in the state. According to political analyst Prabhat Singh, the BJP has finally built a strong base in Bihar, where mass politics has been the norm. Secondly, Nitish Kumar, the longest-serving chief minister of Bihar, is on track to improve his JD(U) party's performance from 43 seats in 2020. His strategic mobilization of women and the Extreme Backward Classes (EBC) has paid off, and he is likely to outmaneuver potential rivals within the National Democratic Alliance (NDA), including Chirag Paswan and smaller caste-based parties. The Mahagathbandhan or Grand Alliance, comprising the Congress and the Rashtriya Janata Dal (RJD), may struggle due to the Congress's allocation of 60-plus seats, which could be counterproductive. The party's ability to form alliances is also in question, given its 'friendly' contests with the RJD on 11 seats, which may have long-term consequences.