Bihar Election 2025: Exit Poll Projections Unfold - Who Will Lead the State?

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The Bihar assembly elections have sparked intense speculation, with exit polls suggesting a National Democratic Alliance (NDA) victory. People's Pulse, People's Insight, Matrize, and P-Marq released their projections on Tuesday, citing a historic voter turnout of 68.76% in the second and final phase of polling. This figure shattered the previous record set during the first phase, which saw 65.08% of voters cast their ballots. Several pollsters, including Matrize, P-Marq, and Dainik Bhaskar, predicted the NDA would secure at least 140 seats, while others, such as People's Pulse, People's Insight, JVC, and Polstrat, indicated a clear majority for the BJP-JD(U) alliance. However, a few exit polls are still pending release. Axis My India, C-Voter, and Today's Chanakya are expected to release their projections on Wednesday, November 12. Axis My India announced on X that its exit poll would be released from 5:30 pm onwards, while Today's Chanakya stated that its analysis would be released on the same day. The other exit polls provided varying predictions, with Dainik Bhaskar forecasting 145-160 seats for the NDA, 73-91 for the Mahagathbandhan, and 0-3 for the Jan Suraaj. Matrize Exit Poll predicted the NDA winning 147-167 seats, the Mahagathbandhan 70-90, and the Jan Suraaj between 0-2 seats. It is essential to note that exit polls are based on surveys of sample groups spread across constituencies in the state and do not always accurately reflect the actual election results. Several instances in the past have demonstrated the limitations of exit polls in predicting the outcome of elections. Follow our live updates for the latest information on the Bihar exit polls.