Bihar Exit Polls 2025: BJP-JD(U) NDA Edges Ahead, Mahagathbandhan Trails Behind | Bihar Election Updates

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Bihar's assembly election has reached its final stretch, with exit polls predicting a strong performance by the National Democratic Alliance (NDA) led by the BJP and JD(U). According to projections from Matrize, P-Marq, Peoples Pulse, and others, the NDA is likely to secure a commanding lead with 130-209 seats in the 243-member assembly. This would be well above the required majority of 122 seats. The opposition Mahagathbandhan, comprising the RJD, Congress, and Left parties, is predicted to trail behind with 70-102 seats. Meanwhile, Prashant Kishor's Jan Suraaj Party may not have made a significant impact, with estimates ranging from 0 to 5 seats. While exit polls offer valuable insights, they may not always reflect the actual results. The final outcome will be revealed on November 14, when counting begins at 8 am across 38 districts. The second and final phase of polling concluded with a 68.67% voter turnout, marking a historic high of 66.91% overall voter turnout. The NDA's seat-sharing arrangement has the JD(U) and BJP contesting 101 seats each, the LJP (RV) on 29 seats, and the HAM(S) and RLM on six seats each. In contrast, the Mahagathbandhan has the RJD contesting 143 seats, the Congress on 61 seats, the CPI on nine seats, and the CPI(M) on four seats. The 243-seat assembly requires a simple majority of 122 seats to form the government. The high-stakes election will determine whether Nitish Kumar's NDA retains power or Tejashwi Yadav's Grand Alliance seizes the throne. In the 2020 Bihar elections, the NDA achieved a landslide victory, winning 125 seats. However, most exit polls had predicted a win for the Tejashwi Yadav-led Mahagathbandhan. The difference in predictions serves as a reminder that exit polls are not always accurate, but they do capture voter sentiment and offer valuable insights into possible trends and swing patterns before the official results are announced.